Leonids 1911-1920

1911
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
not found
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.19816.11.1911 10:4150

In 1911 only traditional maximum is expected, which will be also very weak with ZHR likely not exceeding 5 meteors.

1912
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
27968-0.0045617.59-0.063229.60711.11.1912 3:2510
101567-0.0028541.56-0.390232.82914.11.1912 8:1413
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.19815.11.1912 16:5050

In 1912 some separate meteors can be produced by very old 968 trail on 11 November. No additional enhancements are expected. Background maximum will be very weak, perhaps not exceeding 5 meteors on ZHR scale, it is to occur at 17 UT 15 November.

1913
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
271035-0.000153.41-0.002237.44911.11.1913 4:2110
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.19815.11.1913 23:0050

In 1913 only weak background maximum is expected at 23 UT 15 November, without any additional enhancements from trails. Intensity of traiditional peak continues to be low, 5-7 meteors on ZHR scale.

1914
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
not found
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.19816.11.1914 5:0950

In 1914 Leonids can be weaker than in several previous years, also not outstanding. Even non-meaningful encounters with trails are not found for this year and background activity with peak at 5 UT 16 November will harldly exceed 5 meteors on ZHR scale.

1915
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
1414660.00205-19.39-0.004234.02616.11.1915 7:1310
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.19816.11.1915 11:1810-151

In 1915 only moderate background maximum is expected. It is to occur at 11 UT 16 November and its intensity will be 10-15 meteors on ZHR scale.

1916
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
221201-0.00258-6.35-0.024235.28916.11.1916 19:2610
221201-0.00170-6.510.009235.30516.11.1916 19:4910
231167-0.00158-6.770.013235.78517.11.1916 7:1410
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.19815.11.1916 17:27151

In 1916 again only traditional maximum is expected, but background activity is already gradually going up. Its peak will occur at 17 UT 15 November and its intensity is expected to be normal, with ZHR about 15 meteors.

1917
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
2411020.0013815.990.008236.43318.11.1917 4:4811
2411020.0014515.990.006236.43718.11.1917 4:5411
2411020.0035616.35-0.025236.94618.11.1917 17:0111
231135-0.0013414.82-0.005237.78719.11.1917 13:0111
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.19815.11.1917 23:37151

In 1917 at 0 UT 16 November traditional maximum of average intensity with ZHR about 15 meteors is expected. Sufficient outbursts from trails are not expected.

1918
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
1414660.00004-15.480.001234.19216.11.1918 5:3710
221201-0.00073-5.66-0.004235.60017.11.1918 15:0810
201268-0.00060-5.26-0.011235.88717.11.1918 21:5840
201268-0.00068-5.230.008235.88717.11.1918 21:5920
2411020.0002115.24-0.038236.93318.11.1918 22:5271
241102-0.0000115.080.012237.02819.11.1918 1:0621
2411020.0003014.460.008237.03319.11.1918 1:1411
2411020.0002414.47-0.003237.07619.11.1918 2:1511
231135-0.0013514.69-0.004238.15020.11.1918 3:4811
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.19816.11.1918 5:4620-253

In 1918 at 6 UT 16 November intensive traditional maximum with ZHR about 20-25 meteors is expected. Also two additional small enhancements are possible. The first, very unlikely, from 1268 trail, can occur at 22 UT 17 November with maximal ZHR ~15 meteors. It should be notable with increase of numbers of bright meteors and fireballs. The next, somewhat more likely peak from 1102 trail can occur at 23 UT 18 November. Its intensity also should not surpass 10-15 meteors on ZHR scale, but in contrast to the previous trail, meteors from 1102 trals should be quite faint.

1919
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
2411350.00030-8.700.004234.60516.11.1918 21:3610
241135-0.00075-8.70-0.004234.60517.11.1918 1:1310
916330.00021-23.820.031236.19318.11.1918 11:24290
231135-0.0029214.060.013238.03420.11.1918 8:2311
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.19816.11.1919 11:55203

In 1919 at 12 UT 16 November quite intensive traditional maximum with ZHR=20 meteors is expected. Also some activity from 1633 trail is possible with maximum at 11 UT 18 November. The main sign of such activity would be increase of numbers of bright meteors and fireballs, but intensity prediction of such activity is very difficult.

1920
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
101600-0.00062-28.980.026234.02015.11.1918 13:5030
101600-0.00068-28.99-0.058234.04015.11.1918 14:1870
1314990.00006-15.160.009236.26517.11.1918 19:16120
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.19815.11.1921 18:04152

In 1920 at 18 UT 16 November traditional maximum of average intensity with ZHR=15 meteors is expected. Also at 14 UT 15 November and 19 UT 17 November some signs of activity from, respectively, 1600 and 1499 trails are posssible. Their action (if it materializes) will most likely be expressed in appearance of separate bright meteors and fireball in addition to background activity.