Leonids 2031-2040

2031
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
not found
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.95117.11.2031 23:0215-200

In 2031, as in the previous year, a very weak traditional maximum is expected, despite the perihelion of comet 55P. Optimistic estimation of maximum activity would be 15-20 meteors on ZHR scale, the peak is to occur at 23 UT 17 November. But it's not excluded, that traditional maximum will be very weak even for usual years, lower than 10 meteors on ZHR scale. Outbursts from trails are not found.

2032
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
not found
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.95117.11.2032 5:11150

In 2032, as in the previous year, a very weak traditional maximum is expected, despite the close comet 55P. Optimistic estimation of maximum activity would be 15 meteors on ZHR scale, the peak is to occur at 5 UT 17 November. But it's not excluded, that traditional maximum will be very weak even for usual years, lower than 10 meteors on ZHR scale. Outbursts from trails are not found.

2033
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
31932-0.0060820.500.392235.18117.11.2033 16:5094
41899-0.0020516.38-0.015235.33017.11.2033 20:2364
41899-0.0014917.480.343235.35117.11.2033 20:532964
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.95117.11.2033 11:2125-351

In 2033 a quite weak backgroud maximum is expected, but considering close comet 55P, activity at 11 UT 17 November will rise to 25-35 meteors on ZHR scale. After that a small enhancement from 1932 trail will occur. At 17 UT 17 November activity will reach about 30 meteors on ZHR scale, their brightness will be below average. Finally, the last will be a strong outburst from 1899 trail. At 20:53 UT 17 November activity will rise to 300-400 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be somewhat lower than average.

2034
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
31932-0.0008928.770.415235.35318.11.2034 3:043524
31932-0.0005829.550.002235.35718.11.2034 3:1134
31932-0.0006029.51-0.028235.35918.11.2034 3:13344
418990.0054524.570.341235.60418.11.2034 9:0264
81767-0.000159.15-0.004236.12518.11.2034 21:27313
81767-0.000917.200.153236.15118.11.2034 22:04953
917330.001797.30-0.028236.15818.11.2034 22:1333
917330.002758.530.041236.16318.11.2034 22:2123
91733-0.001036.82-0.029236.16618.11.2034 22:25123
917330.001196.720.003236.17018.11.2034 22:3213
917330.001176.74-0.009236.17318.11.2034 22:3533
81767-0.000559.180.001236.18718.11.2034 22:5413
71800-0.002437.380.095236.19718.11.2034 23:1054
917330.000575.84-0.001236.23519.11.2034 0:0313
61833-0.002688.580.092236.27319.11.2034 0:5864
111666-0.001562.34-1.060236.35619.11.2034 2:57153
101699-0.001173.790.013236.40219.11.2034 4:0313
51866-0.0011312.830.121236.44419.11.2034 5:031394
111666-0.000732.66-0.250236.44619.11.2034 5:05343
121633-0.000232.63-0.001236.48019.11.2034 5:5423
101699-0.000213.97-0.036236.48519.11.2034 6:011263
101699-0.000234.030.000236.48919.11.2034 6:0613
101699-0.000094.650.000236.53919.11.2034 7:1833
1016990.000254.940.000236.57419.11.2034 8:0613
1016990.000584.62-0.006236.59919.11.2034 8:4443
1116660.000412.91-0.001236.63319.11.2034 9:3313
1016990.000894.93-0.004236.67519.11.2034 10:3213
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.95117.11.2034 17:3040-503

In 2034 a number of outbursts is expected. The first will be traditional maximum. It will be quite strong, and considering close comet 55P, activity at 18 UT 17 November will reach 40-50 meteors on ZHR scale. After that a strong outburst from 1932 trail will happen. At 3:04 UT 18 November activity will rise to 400-500 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be significanly lower than average, in radiorange activity should be stronger. Then a small enhancement from 1899 trail will occur. At 9:02 UT 18 November activity will rise to 30-40 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be somewhat lower than average. Then the next significant outburst from 1767 trail will follow. At 22:04 UT 18 November activity will reach 150-250 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be close to average level. Another one strong outburst will be produced by 1699 and 1866 trails, which will partially impose on each other. At 5-6 UT 19 November activity will reach 300-400 meteors on ZHR scale, a number of submaximas is possible. At 5 UT 19 November will be somewhat lower than average, but closer to 6 UT it should considerably increase.

2035
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
21965-0.0038847.670.480235.30118.11.2035 8:0014
319320.0038936.630.363235.48118.11.2035 12:1614
161499-0.000131.95-0.001236.28519.11.2035 7:2412
718000.002649.14-0.019236.61919.11.2035 15:2114
718000.002609.800.137236.62019.11.2035 15:23104
618330.0020810.850.132236.62119.11.2035 15:25234
817670.0043210.480.147236.66019.11.2035 16:2033
518660.0030915.680.106236.82119.11.2035 20:10124
1216330.000122.650.000236.91019.11.2035 22:1513
1116660.000162.910.000236.93719.11.2035 22:5613
1216330.000232.65-0.001236.95819.11.2035 23:2513
1216330.000443.620.003237.20320.11.2035 5:1523
1216330.000333.66-0.058237.22320.11.2035 5:43763
1216330.000203.700.093237.23920.11.2035 6:062383
1216330.000344.120.002237.26420.11.2035 6:4243
1016990.001456.060.092237.32920.11.2035 8:15123
1016990.001276.26-0.025237.38720.11.2035 9:3753
1016990.001216.290.009237.39720.11.2035 9:5223
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.95117.11.2035 23:3930-403

In 2035 again a number of outbursts is expected. The first will be a quite strong traditional maximum. At 0 UT 18 November activity will rise to 30-40 meteors on ZHR scale. The next increase will be not very strong ehnancement from 1800 and 1833 trails. At 15:24 UT 19 November activity will reach 50-60 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be close to average level. After that a weak enhancement from 1866 trail will follow. At 20:10 UT 19 November activity will rise to 30 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be a little lower than average. Finally, at 6:06 Ut 20 November 1633 trail will give a strong outburst to 300-350 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be significantly above average level.

2036
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
21965-0.0012357.790.468235.38017.11.2036 16:01124
161499-0.000044.00-0.001236.59918.11.2036 21:0212
1714660.000023.32-0.008236.63118.11.2036 21:48132
817670.0038413.65-0.016236.95119.11.2036 5:2413
817670.0036912.590.097236.95519.11.2036 5:3043
718000.0021511.600.070237.06419.11.2036 8:06124
618330.0025812.860.068237.16519.11.2036 10:2994
518660.0050118.020.094237.39419.11.2036 15:5634
101699-0.000356.990.000237.71419.11.2036 23:3313
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.95117.11.2036 5:4820-301

In 2036 a quite weak traditional maximum is expected, but considering close comet 55P activity will reach 20-30 meteors on ZHR scale at 6 UT 17 November. A number of weak enhancements is also expected. At 16:01 UT 17 November 1965 trail will give an increase to 30-40 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be significantly lower than average, in radiorange a much stronger peak is likely. The next one will be outburst from 1466 trail at 21:49 UT 18 November. Activity will reach 15-25 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be considerably lower than average. Another enhancement from 1800 and 1833 trail will occur at 8-11 Ut 19 November. Activity will rise to 20-30 meteors on ZHR scale, a number of submaximas is possible, brightness will be a little lower than average level.

2037
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
151499-0.0008518.67-0.079234.53517.11.2037 2:04232
219650.0007367.680.454235.41317.11.2037 22:58234
201366-0.000596.16-0.005236.98519.11.2037 12:2221
718000.0006617.31-0.001237.27319.11.2037 19:1414
718000.0005712.910.060237.31719.11.2037 20:151924
618330.0007614.180.065237.53120.11.2037 1:211674
518660.0036919.610.062237.96120.11.2037 11:3444
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.95117.11.2037 11:5715-251

In 2037 a quite weak traditional maximum is expected, but considering close comet 55P and maximum from 1499 trail, activity will reach 40-50 meteors on ZHR scale at 2 UT 17 November. Some other outbursts are also to occur. At 22:58 UT 17 November 1965 trail will give a peak of 30-40 meteors on ZHR scale. In radiorange activity should be much stronger. Finally, at 20:15 UT 19 November and at 1:21 UT 20 November a double maximum from 1800 and 1833 trails is expected. The first peak will reach 250-350 meteors on ZHR scale, and the second one - 200-300 meteors on ZHR scale. Brightness will be a little lower than average level.

2038
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
1614660.0038222.480.027231.74514.11.2038 13:4612
1614660.0041718.65-0.043233.93416.11.2038 17:5512
219650.0021177.240.438235.42218.11.2038 5:2144
817670.0018015.870.119237.58520.11.2038 8:48413
817670.0008013.87-0.001237.59820.11.2038 9:0613
817670.0010213.820.001237.60420.11.2038 9:1513
817670.0014514.89-0.022237.60520.11.2038 9:16123
817670.0014414.860.007237.60620.11.2038 9:1743
71800-0.0019214.170.059237.82120.11.2038 14:23174
61833-0.0019715.180.054238.11120.11.2038 21:18184
917330.0028321.320.037238.28921.11.2038 1:3243
518660.0010020.780.047238.66821.11.2038 10:32744
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.95117.11.2038 18:07151

In 2038 a moderage traditional maximum is expected. At 18 UT 17 November activity will reach 15 meteors on ZHR scale. Also a number of outbursts from trails will occur. All before, at 5:21 UT 18 November a radiooutburst from 1965 trail is expected. Then at 8:48 UT 20 November 1767 trail will give an outburst to 60-70 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be somewhat lower than average. The next outburst from 1800 trail will happen at 14:23 UT 20 November. Its intensity will reach about 20 meteors on ZHR scale. Then at 21:18 UT 20 November 1833 trail will give an enhancement to also 20 meteors on ZHE scale, brightness a little lower than average. Finally at 10:32 UT 21 November 1866 trail will produce a peak of 70-90 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be significantly lower than average.

2039
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
1814000.0067523.030.494233.37116.11.2039 10:3931
1814000.0034422.24-0.110233.50316.11.2039 13:4831
219650.0033086.560.434235.44718.11.2039 12:0514
2113330.0019712.25-0.021237.30820.11.2039 8:2221
2113330.0015912.150.049237.34120.11.2039 9:0861
81767-0.0027317.460.070238.05521.11.2039 2:0893
81767-0.0028417.18-0.030238.07321.11.2039 2:3243
91733-0.0049122.010.039238.57621.11.2039 14:3013
51866-0.0039821.530.027239.55722.11.2039 13:4924
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.95118.11.2039 0:1610-151

In 2039 a quite strong background maximum is expected. At 0 UT 18 November activity will reach 10-15 meteors on ZHR scale. Also, at 9 UT 20 November 1333 trail can give a small enhancement to about 10 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be close to average level. Another small increase will be produced by 1767 trail at 2:08 UT 21 November. Activity will reach 10-20 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness will be notably lower than average.

2040
encounters with trails
trailyearrD-rEVejfM(fMD)sol.long.Max. timeZHRexReliability
rev.-m/s-°AUUTmeteors-
219650.0050395.520.413235.57317.11.2040 21:1514
2013660.0036710.08-0.087236.64518.11.2040 22:4421
2013660.0035910.010.194236.64718.11.2040 22:4841
2013660.002609.25-0.359236.68218.11.2040 23:38151
2013660.001578.180.073236.69718.11.2040 23:5981
traditional maximum
sol.long.Max. timeZHRexIntensity
°UTmeteors-
234.95117.11.2040 6:2515-202

In 2040 a moderate background maximum is expected. At 6 UT 17 November activity will reach 15-20 meteors on ZHR scale. Also, at 0 UT 19 November an enhancement from 1366 trail is possible. Activity will reach 25-35 meteors on ZHR scale, brightness close to average level.